9

Seven Beaches
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Sterlie Bertram Memorial Stakes · 1f 180y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA80 | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA73 | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA71 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 25/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |