2
Tw No Beach Secrets
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Sterlie Bertram Memorial Stakes · 1f 180y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA81 | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA80 | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA81 | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA86 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-05-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |