Fast Solution
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 87
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/12/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 28/02/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |