2
Global Sensation
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 93
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.02 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |