Up To No Good
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 83
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 30/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 14/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/09/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/12/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |