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My My My Delilah

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 60

Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turfway Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS26/12C6C6 @ Turfway Park 26/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 68 par26/02C6OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-26Turfway Park?8th5th+3
2025-12-26Turfway Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1226/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -14.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20256th6/168%55%-0.14
26/02/20268th8/158%30%-0.28