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8

Strawberry Float

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 8 · OR 64

Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS10/06C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-10Churchill Downs?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20268th40/10%36%+0.36