
Silent Law
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 98
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
| 2025-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2024 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 16/11/2024 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |