2

Energy Flows

2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 84

Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f 11913/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 88 par18/07C6OR 88C6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 83 par21/08C6OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-07-18Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Churchill Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0618/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -44.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
18/07/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
21/08/20266th4/179%29%-0.50