2

Energy Flows
2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 84
Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -44.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |