Cardio Cat
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | BHA91 | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |