For The Win
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Keeneland · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | -1th | +6 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | BHA78 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +25.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |