Ballerina D'oro
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 91
Keeneland · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -5th | +5 |
| 2025-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2024-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
| 2024-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2024 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 08/09/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/10/2024 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 07/12/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 01/03/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 05/04/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |