Flat Out Time
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 11 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |