Run Camila Run
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-15 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/12/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |