Should've
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 98
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-08-28 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |