Snow Face Princess
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 9 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |