Joe Joe Dude
2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 10 · OR 65
Keeneland · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |