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Royces Law

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 68

Keeneland · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS30/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Kentucky Downs?9th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20269th40/10%27%+0.27