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4

Cuban Lady

4yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 5 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Turned in her best effort of the season on debut for new yard when second of 7 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good) in August. Held back by a sluggish start at Epsom 4 weeks ago and now returns to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 18/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 77 par18/073OR 774 @ Newmarket 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 76 par3 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 77 · 6f3y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 77 par16/093OR 774 @ Yarmouth 21/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f42y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 77 par3 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 76 · 6f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 76 par1/053OR 764 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 5f160y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 73 · 6f18y Goo 136 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 73 par25/065OR 734 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 6f210y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f3y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 74 par10/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs46th5th+1
2026-08-23Brighton42nd1st+1
2026-06-25Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-05-22Bath44th3rd+1
2026-05-01Newmarket38th6th+2
2025-10-21Yarmouth46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0721/1025/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20255th7/282%20%-0.62
22/08/20252nd11/271%83%+0.12
16/09/20253rd7/491%75%-0.16
21/10/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
01/05/20268th10/382%30%-0.52
22/05/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
25/06/20263rd5/287%50%-0.37
23/08/20262nd22/10%83%+0.83
10/09/20266th8/158%38%-0.20