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5

Lady Manzor

4yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 2 · OR 71

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

All 3 wins on all-weather early last year. Arrives in reasonable heart this season, making the frame for the fifth consecutive start when third of 6 at Lingfield before shaping as though still in form back here (1m) 4 weeks ago. Cheekpieces back on dropped in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 79 · 7f1y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 79 par31/124OR 792 @ Lingfield 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 78 · 7f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m1y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 78 par20/034OR 784 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 7f1y Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 7f3y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 76 par28/043OR 765 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m Sta 135 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 74 par10/065OR 745 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m Sta 132 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 72 par9/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton55th5th0
2026-08-22Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-06-10Kempton54th4th0
2026-05-20Kempton54th4th0
2026-04-28Yarmouth34th2nd+2
2026-04-03Lingfield44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/123/0410/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/20255th10/382%20%-0.62
27/02/20268th4/179%30%-0.49
20/03/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
03/04/20264th11/271%73%+0.02
28/04/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
20/05/20264th7/282%73%-0.09
10/06/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
22/08/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
09/09/20265th9/153%67%+0.14