9

Nezeeh

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 63

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Lost his way for Denis Hogan in Ireland and no show all 4 starts for current yard minus headgear.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA87 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 6f Std 127 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 87 par26/1187OR 87BHA87 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 87 · 5f Sft 127 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 87 parBHA85 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 85 · 5f3y Sft 145 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 85 par11/0485OR 85BHA82 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 82 · 5f205y Gd 122 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 82 parBHA78 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 par16/0578OR 784 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 71 · 5f6y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 71 par4 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 68 · 7f Sta 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 68 par12/084OR 685 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m1y Std 132 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Kempton 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f Sta 140 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 65 par23/096OR 65projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Kempton66th7th−1
2026-08-25Lingfield59th9th0
2026-08-12Kempton410th9th+1
2026-07-06Lingfield48th7th+1
2026-05-16NavanBHA788th11th−3
2026-04-27NaasBHA8212th16th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1127/0412/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20259th50/10%0%0.00
28/03/202614th50/10%0%0.00
11/04/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
27/04/202612th66/10%0%0.00
16/05/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
06/07/20268th150/10%13%+0.13
12/08/202610th150/10%10%+0.10
25/08/20269th100/10%0%0.00
23/09/20266th25/10%50%+0.50