Receipt
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 8 · OR 73
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/05/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 15% | -0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |