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Silver Trumpet

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 1 · OR 75

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Last 2 wins gained on firm ground at Epsom a year apart, latterly in 6-runner contests in July from 2 lb lower. Runner-up twice since at that venue and very dangerous at this level if breaking anywhere near on terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m13y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 79 par9/044OR 794 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 22 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 775 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 7f3y GF 133 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 73 par9/075OR 735 @ Brighton 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f210y Goo 135 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 7f3y GS 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 75 par31/084OR 754 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f3y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Epsom Downs 27/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 7f3y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 75 par27/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Epsom Downs42nd1st+1
2026-09-10Epsom Downs45th4th+1
2026-08-31Epsom Downs42nd1st+1
2026-08-06Brighton55th5th0
2026-07-09Epsom Downs51st1st0
2026-06-18Southwell56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0418/0631/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
27/04/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
23/05/20267th33/10%71%+0.71
18/06/20266th11/486%44%-0.41
09/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
06/08/20265th3/184%20%-0.64
31/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
10/09/20265th3/184%50%-0.34
27/09/20262nd4/179%89%+0.10