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7

Strike

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 4 · OR 69

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on reduced mark when gaining a first success in nearly 2 years at Newbury in July. Met trouble at Newmarket before a respectable effort at Windsor 3 weeks ago. Placed from 2 lb higher last all-weather start over C&D a year ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 71 par15/105OR 714 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 70 · 5f160y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 70 · 6f12y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 70 par4/054OR 705 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Bath 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 68 · 5f160y Fm 129 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 68 par26/055OR 685 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 5f160y Gd 130 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 67 · 6f GF 139 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 67 par9/075OR 674 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 70 · 6f12y Goo 137 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 70 par14/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor54th4th0
2026-08-15Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-07-09Newbury51st1st0
2026-06-05Bath54th4th0
2026-05-26Bath52nd2nd0
2026-05-14Salisbury53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1014/059/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20253rd7/163%67%+0.04
17/04/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
04/05/20268th4/179%30%-0.49
14/05/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
26/05/20262nd11/893%75%-0.18
05/06/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
09/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
15/08/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
14/09/20264th18/15%75%+0.70