IvyArcIvyArc
10

Work Like Hell

2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 6

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled February 11. 95,000 gns yearling, Too Darn Hot colt. Closely related to useful 7f winner Nakeeb. Dam useful French 1m/9f winner. Makes appeal on pedigree and offered plenty to work on when third of 5 behind a pair with experience at Thirsk in August (both of whom won since).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f Goo 13314/083
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Thirsk33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26