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Alpinara

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 9

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel filly and a sister to the stable's high-class 1½m winner Alpinista. Left debut behind 8 months on when winning 5-runner maiden at Doncaster in June in good style. That form has been boosted since and she looks capable of defying a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1y Sft 12825/1043 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m3f197y GF 12826/063projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Doncaster31st1st0
2025-10-25Newbury47th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1026/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +47.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20257th6/168%25%-0.43
26/06/20261st4/596%100%+0.04