6

Hatta Romance
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -25.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |