2

Queen Of Scotland

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 3

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

65%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Pinatubo filly who confirmed debut promise when landing the odds in Windsor maiden by 4½ lengths from Marquetry. Has more on her plate under a penalty but she remains with potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0823 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f99y Goo 12814/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor31st1st0
2026-08-29Goodwood22nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -22.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25
14/09/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03