2

Queen Of Scotland
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 3
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -22.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |