4

Cixi

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 7 · OR 65

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Very good third in C&D maiden in May for Michael Bell. Below par subsequently until a resurgent third of 10 for her new yard in handicap at Brighton (7f, good) 9 days ago. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/095C5 @ Meydan 19/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Meydan 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS16/01C55 @ Kempton 06/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 75 · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 75 par2 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m1f197y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/052OR 745 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m31y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 70 par27/075OR 705 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f1y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Brighton 28/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 6f210y Goo 137 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 65 par28/096OR 65projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-09-03Lingfield56th5th+1
2026-07-27Windsor57th6th+1
2026-07-05Southwell510th9th+1
2026-05-23Goodwood24th-1th+4
2026-05-06Kempton53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/096/0527/0728/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20254th18/15%70%+0.65
19/12/20254th20/10%79%+0.79
16/01/20265th4/179%71%-0.08
06/05/20263rd9/488%85%-0.04
23/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
05/07/202610th2/189%18%-0.71
27/07/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
03/09/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
28/09/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78