14
Credit Forgedd It
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12 · OR 58
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 26/01/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 21/09/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 23% | -0.35 |