5
Mojito
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 9 · OR 65
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 10th | 5th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 09/09/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 8% | -0.45 |