
Senor Campanaro
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 14 · OR 64
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-12-05 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |