6

Senor Campanaro

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 14 · OR 64

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended 2025 with 7f success at Newcastle in December. Little show subsequently until second of 7 in handicap at Ffos Las in June on his final run for Ed Walker. Needs to back it up for his new yard after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 08/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/0842 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f127y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Kempton 18/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS18/0946 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Newcastle 05/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 62 · 7f14y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 62 par5/125OR 624 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 66 · 7f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Haydock 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 65 · 7f212y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 65 par22/055OR 656 @ Ffos Las 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 7f80y Sft 135 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 64 par17/066OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2026-05-22Haydock58th7th+1
2026-04-14Newmarket410th8th+2
2025-12-05Newcastle51st0th+1
2025-10-04Wolverhampton65th5th0
2025-09-18Kempton49th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/084/1022/0517/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20257th16/116%25%+0.09
30/08/20254th22/10%50%+0.50
18/09/20259th66/10%38%+0.38
04/10/20255th7/282%43%-0.39
05/12/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
14/04/202610th9/153%25%-0.28
22/05/20268th13/266%30%-0.36
17/06/20262nd2/189%83%-0.06