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3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 62
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |