Upsomdowns
3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 11 · OR 61
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-08 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |