An Outlaw's Grace
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 10 · OR 73
Kempton · Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Goodwood | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 23/05/2026 | 19th | 20/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 26/09/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |