10

Blue Orbit

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 72

Kempton · Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair 5f winner at 2 yrs. Some creditable races this year for Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole and again for new yard in a first-time hood when seventh of 13 at Southwell (6f) 4 days ago. Not out of things on polytrack debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 01/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 82 par1/082OR 822 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 79 · 5f21y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 79 par17/034OR 794 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 80 · 5f160y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 79 par8/054OR 794 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f16y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f16y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 75 par3/074OR 755 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f2y GF 134 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Southwell 03/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 72 · 6f16y Std 134 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 72 par3/105OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Southwell57th7th0
2026-07-23Doncaster56th6th0
2026-07-03Chepstow44th3rd+1
2026-06-18Southwell45th4th+1
2026-05-08Ascot410th9th+1
2026-04-17Bath44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0817/043/073/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20256th8/158%50%-0.08
20/08/202513th16/116%33%+0.18
17/03/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
17/04/20264th6/168%75%+0.07
08/05/202610th16/116%50%+0.34
18/06/20265th17/255%50%-0.05
03/07/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
23/07/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
03/10/20267th16/116%50%+0.34