5

King Of Chaos

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 4 · OR 75

Kempton · Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time winner on all-weather this year, latest at Wolverhampton (6f) in July. Below form more recently, though, so needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 73 · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 73 par2/054OR 735 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Gd 131 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f215y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 68 par29/055OR 685 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 66 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 66 par4 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f3y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 72 par9/074OR 725 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 72 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f20y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 79 par31/074OR 794 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 78 · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 77 · 6f3y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 77 par16/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Yarmouth49th8th+1
2026-08-26Kempton411th10th+1
2026-07-31Wolverhampton47th6th+1
2026-07-17Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-07-09Epsom Downs47th6th+1
2026-06-16Wolverhampton51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0516/0631/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength10%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
15/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
29/05/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
16/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
09/07/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
17/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
31/07/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
26/08/202611th33/10%0%0.00
16/09/20269th25/10%27%+0.27