11
Up The Agenda
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 12 · OR 71
Kempton · Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |