2

Benvoy

5yo Gelding · 10-1 · Draw 7 · OR 69

Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 1m 7f 218y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 3 times over hurdles for this yard, most recently in December. First Flat start since 2024 (tongue tied) when a good second of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (2m, all-weather) in August. Not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wetherby 27/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS27/1245 @ Huntingdon 02/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 100 · 1m7f171y Goo 160 · beat its mark02/03/2025 · OR 100 par2 @ Ascot 30/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 1m7f152y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2025 · OR 107 par30/032OR 1073 @ Market Rasen 19/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 118 · 2m4f139y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 118 par2 @ Chepstow 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 118 · 2m11y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 118 par11/102OR 1183 @ Huntingdon 07/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 116 · 1m7f171y Sft 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 116 par4 @ Huntingdon 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 113 · 1m7f171y GS 159 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 113 par22/124OR 1134 @ Hereford 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 114 · 2m53y Gd 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 114 par5 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m7f169y Std 154 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 68 par18/085OR 68projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield52nd2nd0
2026-04-16Hereford44th3rd+1
2026-03-06Exeter4+1
2026-01-08Taunton3+2
2025-12-22Huntingdon41st0th+1
2025-12-07Huntingdon39th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1219/0722/1218/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20243rd40/10%80%+0.80
02/03/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
30/03/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
19/07/20256th10/147%29%-0.19
11/10/20258th16/116%42%+0.26
07/12/20259th22/10%11%+0.11
22/12/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
16/04/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
18/08/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83