Gemmari
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · Draw 1 · OR 70
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 1m 7f 218y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newbury | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/03/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 03/03/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 14% | -0.75 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |