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5

Now The Eagle

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 8 · OR 66

Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 1m 7f 218y

#1

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained breakthrough success over C&D in April and bettered that form when second over C&D on next 2 outings. Unsuited by way race developed when fourth of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (2m, good to firm) last time. Remains one to be interested in back here off a handy-looking mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13111/09C?5 @ Kempton 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m3f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Nottingham 23/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m6f Hvy 131 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 69 par23/105OR 695 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m2f219y Sta 132 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 62 · 1m7f218y Sta 130 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 62 par6/045OR 625 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 1m7f218y Sta 133 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 66 par4 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 67 · 1m7f218y Sta 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 67 par27/054OR 674 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 2m GF 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newmarket 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 68 · 2m GF 135 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 68 par26/065OR 68projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Newmarket54th4th0
2026-06-01Newbury47th6th+1
2026-05-27Kempton42nd1st+1
2026-05-04Kempton52nd2nd0
2026-04-06Kempton51st1st0
2026-03-18Kempton58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0918/0327/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/202513th12/137%0%-0.37
10/10/20255th100/10%56%+0.56
23/10/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
18/03/20268th50/10%0%0.00
06/04/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
04/05/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
27/05/20262nd28/10%90%+0.90
01/06/20267th13/266%14%-0.52
26/06/20264th5/174%25%-0.49