6
Vilaine Verlaine
4yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 9 · OR 66
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 1m 7f 218y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 5 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-07-30 | Sandown | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 90/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 02/05/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 12/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/07/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |