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8

Virtue Diligence

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 6 · OR 65

Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 1m 7f 218y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form when a 33/1-second in 13-runner handicap at Bath (13f, firm) 8 days ago. Not ruled out stepping up in trip in his bid for a maiden success.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 13324/0953 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS8/0633 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f201y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS30/0635 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m4f5y Goo 134 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 74 par25/075OR 745 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m4f GF 129 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 72 par6/085OR 725 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m5f Std 129 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 69 par22/085OR 695 @ Bath 29/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 65 · 1m5f11y GF 130 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 65 par29/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29Bath52nd2nd0
2026-08-22Lingfield54th4th0
2026-08-06Chepstow56th6th0
2026-07-25Salisbury54th4th0
2026-06-30Salisbury33rd1st+2
2026-06-08Windsor38th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0925/0729/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20259th125/10%20%+0.20
08/06/20268th100/10%46%+0.46
30/06/20263rd50/10%67%+0.67
25/07/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
06/08/20266th7/163%17%-0.46
22/08/20264th28/10%40%+0.40
29/09/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92