7

Blue Samuna

3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 57

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to go on for Jane Chapple-Hyam and yet to fire in handicaps at Newmarket (6f) and Lingfield (7f, all-weather) for her new yard this summer. Needs to step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0844 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0945 @ Chelmsford City 27/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/1154 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 67 par6/044OR 675 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 65 · 1m Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 65 par15/055OR 655 @ Newmarket 31/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 62 · 6f GF 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 62 par31/075OR 626 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 59 · 7f1y Std 130 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 59 par13/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Lingfield67th7th0
2026-07-31Newmarket58th7th+1
2026-05-15Newmarket57th6th+1
2026-04-06Kempton46th4th+2
2025-11-27Chelmsford City56th5th+1
2025-09-09Leicester44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/086/0413/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20256th80/10%44%+0.44
09/09/20254th50/10%57%+0.57
27/11/20256th7/163%38%-0.26
06/04/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
15/05/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
31/07/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
13/08/20267th33/10%45%+0.45