13
Celtic John
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 46
Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Brighton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 02/03/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |