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9

Chico Dulce

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 52

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Both career victories have come on all-weather at Lingfield. In decent form this season until a below-par sixth of 8 tried in cheekpieces back at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) 25 days ago. Headgear is quickly dispensed with.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 23/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 51 · 1m2f Std 131 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 51 par23/096OR 516 @ Lingfield 27/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m2f Std 133 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 52 · 1m1y Std 132 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 52 par4/116OR 526 @ Lingfield 02/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 56 · 1m1y Std 132 · beat its mark02/12/2025 · OR 56 par5 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m Sta 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 56 par1/045OR 566 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 55 · 1m1y Std 151 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 54 · 1m Sta 124 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 54 par8/076OR 546 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m2f Std 134 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m1y Std 131 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 53 par12/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield66th6th0
2026-08-11Lingfield65th5th0
2026-07-08Kempton63rd3rd0
2026-04-20Lingfield67th7th0
2026-04-01Kempton54th3rd+1
2025-12-02Lingfield65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/092/128/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20252nd9/276%92%+0.15
27/10/20254th7/282%73%-0.09
04/11/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
02/12/20255th5/287%64%-0.23
01/04/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
20/04/20267th11/486%40%-0.46
08/07/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
11/08/20265th2/189%64%-0.26
12/09/20266th7/282%29%-0.53