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8

Makes Me Wonder

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2 · OR 54

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came at Yarmouth (1m) last spring. Has largely held his form well since, though well held in first-time cheekpieces back at Yarmouth (1m, good) 20 days ago. The sort to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Windsor 28/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m31y GF 138 · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 55 par28/066OR 556 @ Chepstow 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 03/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 57 · 1m3y Gd 127 · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 57 par3/086OR 575 @ Epsom Downs 15/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 1m113y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m3y GS 130 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 57 par13/106OR 576 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 132 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 1m2f Std 131 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 55 par15/086OR 556 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 135 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par5 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m3y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 55 par17/095OR 55projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Yarmouth513th12th+1
2026-09-01Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-08-15Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton68th8th0
2025-10-13Yarmouth64th4th0
2025-08-15Epsom Downs54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0615/0815/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20252nd2/189%80%-0.09
17/07/20254th4/179%25%-0.54
03/08/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
15/08/20254th7/282%25%-0.57
13/10/20254th7/163%77%+0.14
14/07/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
15/08/20262nd18/15%86%+0.80
01/09/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
17/09/202613th16/116%8%-0.08