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4

Pitney

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 11 · OR 57

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighteen runs since last win in 2024 but in good nick when last seen on the track, fifth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) in June. Not out of things after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m1y Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 66 par3/015OR 666 @ Chelmsford City 15/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m Std 135 · beat its mark15/01/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 64 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 64 par31/016OR 645 @ Lingfield 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 61 · 7f1y Std 131 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 61 par28/026OR 616 @ Wolverhampton 09/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark09/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m GS 132 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 60 par17/046OR 606 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m1y Std 129 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 59 par1/066OR 59projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Lingfield65th5th0
2026-05-19Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-04-17Bath65th5th0
2026-03-09Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-02-28Lingfield64th4th0
2026-02-14Lingfield55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0114/0217/041/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
15/01/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
31/01/20264th15/261%73%+0.12
14/02/20265th5/174%43%-0.31
28/02/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
09/03/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
17/04/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
19/05/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
01/06/20265th9/153%60%+0.07