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5

Violet Goldsmith

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 7 · OR 59

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark at Chepstow (1m) in July and in good form since, refitted in cheekpieces when a keeping-on sixth of 14 back at 7f at Leicester 16 days ago. This return to 1m should suit and she's weighted to go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 19/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS19/0922 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f213y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Kempton 29/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/1046 @ Southwell 09/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m13y Std 135 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 53 · 1m14y Goo 130 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 53 par29/056OR 536 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 53 · 1m14y Goo 134 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 53 par5 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 56 · 1m Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 56 par21/085OR 566 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m Sta 127 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Leicester 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 60 par21/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Leicester66th6th0
2026-09-09Kempton62nd2nd0
2026-08-21Salisbury52nd1st+1
2026-07-03Chepstow61st1st0
2026-05-29Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-04-09Southwell611th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/099/0421/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
02/10/20258th80/10%13%+0.13
29/10/20257th250/10%33%+0.33
09/04/202611th6/168%9%-0.59
29/05/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
03/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
21/08/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
09/09/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
21/09/20266th4/179%62%-0.17