6

Capable
9yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 7
Marseille · Prix Du Port De Banc Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 21/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 02/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |